Politics
Which party will win the U.S. Senate next year? Odds Compared
2 platforms $76.7K total volume Resolves February 1, 2027 Quoted 13h ago
Frontrunner — 7 day trend
Will Democrats win the U.S. Senate in 2026?
64%
Cross-Platform Price Comparison
1.6pt spread ≥ 1pt
| Outcome | Gemini | Kalshi | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Significant decrease | — | — | — |
| :: Katie Britt | — | — | — |
| Will Democratics win the Senate race in Alabama? | — | — | — |
| Will Las Vegas receive a Pro Basketball expansion team before Jan 1, 2028? | — | — | — |
| Will Democrats win the U.S. Senate in 2026? | — | 64% | — |
| Significant increase | — | — | — |
| Republican Party | 52% | 37% | 15.5pt |
| Will Republicans win the U.S. Senate in 2026? | — | 37% | — |
| Democratic Party | 49% | 64% | 14.5pt |
| :: CHP | — | 3% | — |
| :: AKP | — | — | — |
| No significant difference | — | — | — |
| Will Seattle receive a Pro Basketball expansion team before Jan 1, 2028? | — | — | — |
Prices shown as implied probability (%). Spread is the largest gap between platforms for that outcome — a wider spread means the platforms disagree more about the likely result. A spread of 1+ point is stamped.
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Frequently Asked Questions
How many platforms track "Which party will win the U.S. Senate next year"?
2 platforms currently quote this market: Gemini, Kalshi. Odds Reference aggregates live prices from each and shows them side by side.
What is the current frontrunner for "Which party will win the U.S. Senate next year"?
"Will Democrats win the U.S. Senate in 2026?" is the current frontrunner at an implied probability of 64%, based on the latest prices across tracked platforms.
Do platforms disagree on the price for "Which party will win the U.S. Senate next year"?
Yes — the largest current disagreement is on "Republican Party", where prices differ by 15.5 percentage points across platforms.
When does "Which party will win the U.S. Senate next year" resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on February 1, 2027.