Politics
Will the SAVE Act become law? Odds Compared
2 platforms $3.0M total volume Resolves January 15, 2027 Quoted 4h ago
Frontrunner — 7 day trend
No
95%
Cross-Platform Price Comparison
These platforms quote this market with different outcome structures, so no outcome currently has a directly comparable price on two venues. Each platform's own quotes are shown separately below.
| Outcome | Gemini |
|---|---|
| SAVE Act becomes law? | 8% |
| Outcome | Polymarket US |
|---|---|
| No | 95% |
| Yes | 6% |
Prices shown as implied probability (%). Because the venues define this market's outcomes differently, no cross-venue spread is computed.
Resolution criteria
Will the SAVE Act (H.R. 22) become law before Jan 4, 2027? Outcome verified from the Library of Congress (Congress.gov).
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Frequently Asked Questions
How many platforms track "Will the SAVE Act become law"?
2 platforms currently quote this market: Gemini, Polymarket US. Odds Reference aggregates live prices from each and shows them side by side.
What is the current frontrunner for "Will the SAVE Act become law"?
"No" is the current frontrunner at an implied probability of 95%, based on the latest prices across tracked platforms.
Do platforms disagree on the price for "Will the SAVE Act become law"?
No outcome of this market currently has a directly comparable price on two or more platforms — each venue quotes its own outcome set, so no cross-platform spread is computed.
When does "Will the SAVE Act become law" resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on January 15, 2027.