Science & Climate
Highest temperature in Boston on Aug 14, 2026? Odds Compared
2 platforms
$96 total volume
Resolves August 16, 2026
Frontrunner — 7 day trend
78°F to 79°F
44%
Cross-Platform Price Comparison
| Outcome | Gemini | Kalshi | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| 82° to 83° | 0% | 1% | 0.5pt |
| 80° to 81° | 18% | 1% | 17.5pt |
| 78°F to 79°F | 44% | — | — |
| 79° or below | 37% | 1% | 36.5pt |
| 84° to 85° | 0% | 100% | 99.5pt |
| 86° to 87° | — | 1% | — |
| 88° or above | 0% | 1% | 0.5pt |
Prices shown as implied probability (%). Spread is the largest gap between platforms for that outcome — a wider spread means the platforms disagree more about the likely result.
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Frequently Asked Questions
How many platforms track "Highest temperature in Boston on Aug 14, 2026?"?
2 platforms currently quote this market: Gemini, Kalshi. Odds Reference aggregates live prices from each and shows them side by side.
What is the current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Boston on Aug 14, 2026?"?
"78°F to 79°F" is the current frontrunner at an implied probability of 44%, based on the latest prices across tracked platforms.
Do platforms disagree on the price for "Highest temperature in Boston on Aug 14, 2026?"?
Yes — the largest current disagreement is on "84° to 85°", where prices differ by 99.5 percentage points across platforms.
When does "Highest temperature in Boston on Aug 14, 2026?" resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on August 16, 2026.