Science & Climate
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Aug 14, 2026? Odds Compared
2 platforms
$100 total volume
Resolves August 16, 2026
Frontrunner — 7 day trend
77° to 78°
100%
Cross-Platform Price Comparison
| Outcome | Gemini | Kalshi | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| 70° or below | 0% | 1% | 0.5pt |
| 79° or above | 0% | 1% | 0.5pt |
| 78°F to 79°F | 40% | — | — |
| 80°F to 81°F | 3% | — | — |
| 71° to 72° | — | 1% | — |
| 77° to 78° | — | 100% | — |
| 75° to 76° | — | 1% | — |
| 73° to 74° | — | 1% | — |
| 74°F to 75°F | 4% | — | — |
| 76°F to 77°F | 57% | — | — |
Prices shown as implied probability (%). Spread is the largest gap between platforms for that outcome — a wider spread means the platforms disagree more about the likely result.
Trade This Market
Frequently Asked Questions
How many platforms track "Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Aug 14, 2026?"?
2 platforms currently quote this market: Gemini, Kalshi. Odds Reference aggregates live prices from each and shows them side by side.
What is the current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Aug 14, 2026?"?
"77° to 78°" is the current frontrunner at an implied probability of 100%, based on the latest prices across tracked platforms.
Do platforms disagree on the price for "Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Aug 14, 2026?"?
Yes — the largest current disagreement is on "70° or below", where prices differ by 0.5 percentage points across platforms.
When does "Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Aug 14, 2026?" resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on August 16, 2026.