Science & Climate
Highest temperature in Miami on Aug 14, 2026? Odds Compared
2 platforms
$253 total volume
Resolves August 16, 2026
Frontrunner — 7 day trend
95° to 96°
100%
Cross-Platform Price Comparison
| Outcome | Gemini | Kalshi | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| 88°F to 89°F | 0% | — | — |
| 89° to 90° | — | 1% | — |
| 91° to 92° | — | 1% | — |
| 95° to 96° | — | 100% | — |
| 93° to 94° | — | 1% | — |
| 88° or below | 0% | 1% | 0.5pt |
| 94°F to 95°F | 46% | — | — |
| 92°F to 93°F | 46% | — | — |
| 90°F to 91°F | 6% | — | — |
| 97° or above | 7% | 1% | 6.5pt |
Prices shown as implied probability (%). Spread is the largest gap between platforms for that outcome — a wider spread means the platforms disagree more about the likely result.
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Frequently Asked Questions
How many platforms track "Highest temperature in Miami on Aug 14, 2026?"?
2 platforms currently quote this market: Gemini, Kalshi. Odds Reference aggregates live prices from each and shows them side by side.
What is the current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Miami on Aug 14, 2026?"?
"95° to 96°" is the current frontrunner at an implied probability of 100%, based on the latest prices across tracked platforms.
Do platforms disagree on the price for "Highest temperature in Miami on Aug 14, 2026?"?
Yes — the largest current disagreement is on "97° or above", where prices differ by 6.5 percentage points across platforms.
When does "Highest temperature in Miami on Aug 14, 2026?" resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on August 16, 2026.