NBA Championship Odds: Gemini / Kalshi / Polymarket vs BetMGM, BetRivers, FanDuel
30 NBA Championship entrants currently have a live price on both a prediction-market exchange and a real sportsbook. The widest gap right now is San Antonio Spurs, priced at 19.5% on Polymarket versus an average of 27.8% across sportsbooks — a +8.3pt gap on the identical event.
Where is the NBA Championship priced differently?
Every row below has a real, live quote from at least one exchange and one sportsbook — no placeholder or zero-probability rows. The legend above the table explains how the best price, edge, and stale marks work.
| Entrant / edge | Gemini | Kalshi | Polymarket | BetMGM | BetRivers | FanDuel | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City Thunder +5.1pt | — | — | 23.5% +326 | 28.6% +250
stale · 7d ago | +5.1pt | ||
| San Antonio Spurs +8.3pt | — | — | 19.5% +413 | 28.6% +250
stale · 7d ago | +8.3pt | ||
| Philadelphia 76ers -1.0pt | — | — | 10.9% +817 | 10.0% +900
stale · 7d ago | -1.0pt | ||
| New York Knicks +2.9pt | — | — | 6.5% +1438 | 10.0% +900
stale · 7d ago | +2.9pt | ||
| Boston Celtics +0.9pt | — | — | 5.5% +1718 | 5.9% +1600
stale · 7d ago | +0.9pt | ||
| Minnesota Timberwolves -1.6pt | — | — | 5.5% +1735 | 3.2% +3000
stale · 7d ago | -1.6pt | ||
| Toronto Raptors -0.4pt | — | — | 4.2% +2281 | 3.9% +2500
stale · 7d ago | -0.4pt | ||
| Detroit Pistons -0.1pt | — | — | 3.5% +2717 | 3.9% +2500
stale · 7d ago | -0.1pt | ||
| Miami Heat +0.2pt | — | — | 3.0% +3179 | 3.2% +3000
stale · 7d ago | +0.2pt | ||
| Denver Nuggets +1.0pt | — | — | 2.8% +3471 | 3.9% +2500
stale · 7d ago | +1.0pt | ||
| Los Angeles Lakers -0.5pt | — | 3.5% +2757 | 2.6% +3746 | 2.4% +4000
stale · 7d ago | -0.5pt | ||
| Cleveland Cavaliers +1.0pt | — | — | 2.5% +3822 | 3.2% +3000
stale · 7d ago | +1.0pt | ||
| Indiana Pacers +0.4pt | — | — | 2.1% +4551 | 2.4% +4000
stale · 7d ago | +0.4pt | ||
| Houston Rockets +0.0pt | 2.5% +3900 | 3.4% +2885 | 2.4% +4000
stale · 7d ago | +0.0pt | |||
| Portland Trail Blazers -0.5pt | — | — | 1.8% +5614 | 1.2% +8000
stale · 7d ago | -0.5pt | ||
| Atlanta Hawks +0.6pt | — | — | 1.1% +8596 | 1.6% +6000
stale · 7d ago | +0.6pt | ||
| Golden State Warriors +0.6pt | — | — | 0.9% +11665 | 1.6% +6000
stale · 7d ago | +0.6pt | ||
| Orlando Magic +0.2pt | 1.5% +6567 | 0.8% +13233 | 1.6% +6000
stale · 7d ago | +0.2pt | |||
| Utah Jazz 0.0pt | — | — | 0.7% +15285 | 0.7% +15000
stale · 7d ago | 0.0pt | ||
| Washington Wizards +0.0pt | — | — | 0.7% +15285 | 0.7% +15000
stale · 7d ago | +0.0pt | ||
| Charlotte Hornets +0.5pt | — | — | 0.4% +22122 | 1.0% +10000
stale · 7d ago | +0.5pt | ||
| Phoenix Suns +0.3pt | — | — | 0.4% +28471 | 0.7% +15000
stale · 7d ago | +0.3pt | ||
| Dallas Mavericks +0.0pt | — | — | 0.4% +28471 | 0.4% +25000
stale · 7d ago | +0.0pt | ||
| Memphis Grizzlies -0.1pt | — | — | 0.3% +39900 | 0.1% +100000
stale · 7d ago | -0.1pt | ||
| Los Angeles Clippers -0.2pt | — | 0.5% +19900 | 0.1% +66567 | 0.2% +50000
stale · 7d ago | -0.2pt | ||
| Chicago Bulls -0.0pt | — | — | 0.1% +66567 | 0.2% +50000
stale · 7d ago | -0.0pt | ||
| New Orleans Pelicans -0.0pt | — | — | 0.1% +66567 | 0.2% +50000
stale · 7d ago | -0.0pt | ||
| Milwaukee Bucks +0.1pt | — | — | 0.1% +199900 | 0.1% +100000
stale · 7d ago | +0.1pt | ||
| Brooklyn Nets +0.1pt | — | — | 0.1% +199900 | 0.1% +100000
stale · 7d ago | +0.1pt | ||
| Sacramento Kings +0.1pt | — | — | 0.1% +199900 | 0.1% +100000
stale · 7d ago | +0.1pt |
Prices are implied probability derived from each venue's live quote (exchange price or American odds with vig). Bold, underlined marks the single highest-payout price across every venue for that entrant. Edge = sportsbook-consensus probability minus exchange probability, in percentage points — a positive edge means sportsbooks price that outcome higher than the exchange does; a gap of 1+ point is stamped. Stale flags any quote observed more than 48 hours ago.
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