Exchange vs Sportsbook

World Series Odds: Gemini / Novig / Polymarket vs BetMGM, BetRivers, DraftKings, FanDuel

30 World Series entrants currently have a live price on both a prediction-market exchange and a real sportsbook. The widest gap right now is Colorado Rockies, priced at 50.0% on Polymarket versus an average of 0.1% across sportsbooks — a +49.9pt gap on the identical event.

30 entrants 7 venues Source market MLB World Series Champion 2026 Gemini/Novig/Polymarket quoted under 1 hour ago Sportsbooks quoted 7d ago

Where is the World Series priced differently?

Every row below has a real, live quote from at least one exchange and one sportsbook — no placeholder or zero-probability rows. The legend above the table explains how the best price, edge, and stale marks work.

Bold best price per entrant +1.6 gap ≥ 1pt stale venue hasn't updated in 48h
Entrant / edge Gemini Novig Polymarket BetMGM BetRivers DraftKings FanDuel
Milwaukee Brewers
-7.6pt
—
73.3% -274
73.6% -278
65.5% -190 stale · 7d ago
66.7% -200 stale · 7d ago
65.5% -190 stale · 7d ago
65.5% -190 stale · 7d ago
Colorado Rockies
-49.9pt
— —
50.0% -100
0.1% +100000 stale · 72d ago
0.1% +75000 stale · 47d ago
0.2% +50000 stale · 72d ago
0.1% +100000 stale · 79d ago
Tampa Bay Rays
-9.5pt
—
27.3% +267
26.6% +277
16.7% +500 stale · 7d ago
18.2% +450 stale · 7d ago
18.2% +450 stale · 7d ago
16.7% +500 stale · 7d ago
New York Yankees
-5.2pt
—
10.1% +890 stale · 16d ago
11.5% +770 stale · 102d ago
5.9% +1600 stale · 17d ago
5.9% +1600 stale · 17d ago
5.0% +1900 stale · 17d ago
5.6% +1700 stale · 17d ago
Atlanta Braves
-6.1pt
—
11.0% +809 stale · 16d ago
7.6% +1216 stale · 102d ago
4.8% +2000 stale · 17d ago
2.4% +4000 stale · 17d ago
0.2% +50000 stale · 17d ago
5.6% +1700 stale · 17d ago
Chicago Cubs
-0.6pt
—
2.8% +3471 stale · 23d ago
3.5% +2799 stale · 102d ago
2.4% +4000 stale · 24d ago
2.4% +4000 stale · 24d ago
2.8% +3500 stale · 24d ago
2.4% +4000 stale · 24d ago
Chicago White Sox
-1.1pt
—
5.6% +1686 stale · 13d ago
2.5% +3982 stale · 102d ago
4.8% +2000 stale · 14d ago
2.4% +4000 stale · 14d ago
2.2% +4500 stale · 14d ago
2.4% +4000 stale · 14d ago
Boston Red Sox
+0.6pt
—
2.5% +3900 stale · 23d ago
2.5% +3982 stale · 102d ago
3.2% +3000 stale · 24d ago
3.0% +3200 stale · 24d ago
3.2% +3000 stale · 24d ago
2.9% +3300 stale · 24d ago
Texas Rangers
-2.4pt
—
5.5% +1718 stale · 27d ago
2.4% +4067 stale · 102d ago
1.2% +8000 stale · 47d ago
2.0% +5000 stale · 47d ago
1.4% +7000 stale · 47d ago
1.8% +5500 stale · 47d ago
Toronto Blue Jays
-1.4pt
—
7.0% +1329 stale · 30d ago
2.1% +4662 stale · 102d ago
3.9% +2500 stale · 47d ago
2.0% +5000 stale · 47d ago
4.8% +2000 stale · 47d ago
2.2% +4500 stale · 47d ago
Seattle Mariners
-3.6pt
—
1.5% +6567 stale · 29d ago
7.1% +1299 stale · 102d ago
0.5% +20000 stale · 47d ago
1.0% +10000 stale · 47d ago
0.7% +15000 stale · 47d ago
0.6% +17500 stale · 47d ago
Pittsburgh Pirates
-2.8pt
—
4.6% +2074 stale · 30d ago
1.4% +7307 stale · 102d ago
0.1% +75000 stale · 47d ago
0.2% +50000 stale · 47d ago
0.2% +50000 stale · 47d ago
0.1% +100000 stale · 47d ago
Houston Astros
-1.7pt
—
12.3% +710 stale · 24d ago
1.1% +8596 stale · 102d ago
4.8% +2000 stale · 47d ago
4.8% +2000 stale · 47d ago
6.3% +1500 stale · 47d ago
4.3% +2200 stale · 47d ago
Detroit Tigers
-0.9pt
—
1.0% +9900 stale · 30d ago
1.3% +7900 stale · 102d ago
0.1% +100000 stale · 47d ago
0.4% +25000 stale · 47d ago
0.1% +100000 stale · 47d ago
0.1% +100000 stale · 47d ago
Miami Marlins
-0.8pt
— —
0.9% +10426 stale · 102d ago
0.2% +50000 stale · 47d ago
0.2% +50000 stale · 47d ago
0.2% +50000 stale · 47d ago
0.1% +100000 stale · 47d ago
St. Louis Cardinals
-2.9pt
—
5.5% +1718 stale · 30d ago
0.8% +13233 stale · 102d ago
0.2% +50000 stale · 47d ago
0.2% +50000 stale · 47d ago
0.2% +50000 stale · 47d ago
0.1% +100000 stale · 47d ago
Arizona Diamondbacks
-1.4pt
—
5.5% +1718 stale · 27d ago
0.5% +18082 stale · 102d ago
1.8% +5500 stale · 47d ago
1.2% +8000 stale · 47d ago
1.8% +5500 stale · 47d ago
1.6% +6000 stale · 47d ago
San Diego Padres
-1.0pt
—
5.1% +1880 stale · 16d ago
0.5% +18082 stale · 102d ago
1.8% +5500 stale · 16d ago
2.0% +5000 stale · 16d ago
2.0% +5000 stale · 16d ago
1.3% +7500 stale · 16d ago
New York Mets
-2.4pt
—
4.5% +2122 stale · 39d ago
0.5% +18082 stale · 102d ago
0.1% +100000 stale · 52d ago
0.2% +50000 stale · 47d ago
0.2% +50000 stale · 72d ago
0.1% +100000 stale · 72d ago
Los Angeles Angels
-0.4pt
— —
0.5% +18082 stale · 102d ago
0.1% +100000 stale · 72d ago
0.2% +50000 stale · 47d ago
0.2% +50000 stale · 72d ago
0.1% +100000 stale · 79d ago
Minnesota Twins
-0.3pt
— —
0.5% +18082 stale · 102d ago
0.1% +100000 stale · 47d ago
0.4% +25000 stale · 47d ago
0.4% +25000 stale · 47d ago
0.1% +75000 stale · 47d ago
Washington Nationals
-0.2pt
— —
0.4% +28471 stale · 102d ago
0.1% +100000 stale · 47d ago
0.2% +50000 stale · 47d ago
0.1% +100000 stale · 47d ago
0.1% +100000 stale · 72d ago
San Francisco Giants
-0.2pt
— —
0.4% +28471 stale · 102d ago
0.1% +100000 stale · 72d ago
0.2% +50000 stale · 47d ago
0.2% +50000 stale · 72d ago
0.1% +100000 stale · 79d ago
Baltimore Orioles
-2.3pt
—
5.5% +1718 stale · 27d ago
0.1% +66567 stale · 102d ago
0.3% +40000 stale · 47d ago
1.0% +10000 stale · 47d ago
0.5% +20000 stale · 47d ago
0.3% +40000 stale · 47d ago
Kansas City Royals
-1.0pt
—
2.1% +4778 stale · 30d ago
0.1% +66567 stale · 102d ago
0.1% +100000 stale · 47d ago
0.2% +50000 stale · 47d ago
0.1% +100000 stale · 47d ago
0.1% +100000 stale · 79d ago
Athletics
-0.4pt
1.0% +9900 stale · 33d ago
—
0.1% +66567 stale · 102d ago
0.1% +100000 stale · 72d ago
0.2% +50000 stale · 47d ago
0.2% +50000 stale · 72d ago
0.1% +100000 stale · 79d ago
Cincinnati Reds
-0.0pt
— —
0.1% +66567 stale · 102d ago
0.1% +100000 stale · 47d ago
0.2% +50000 stale · 47d ago
0.1% +100000 stale · 47d ago
0.1% +100000 stale · 72d ago
Philadelphia Phillies
-0.7pt
—
0.1% +99900 stale · 22d ago
5.8% +1624 stale · 102d ago
2.0% +5000 stale · 22d ago
2.8% +3500 stale · 22d ago
2.4% +4000 stale · 22d ago
2.0% +5000 stale · 22d ago
Cleveland Guardians
+19.2pt
—
6.5% +1438 stale · 4d ago
0.1% +199900 stale · 4d ago
22.2% +350 stale · 7d ago
22.2% +350 stale · 7d ago
22.7% +340 stale · 7d ago
22.7% +340 stale · 7d ago
Los Angeles Dodgers
-0.8pt
—
20.0% +400 stale · 8d ago
0.1% +199900 stale · 8d ago
1.8% +5500 stale · 8d ago
11.8% +750 stale · 9d ago
11.8% +750 stale · 9d ago
11.8% +750 stale · 9d ago

Prices are implied probability derived from each venue's live quote (exchange price or American odds with vig). Bold, underlined marks the single highest-payout price across every venue for that entrant. Edge = sportsbook-consensus probability minus exchange probability, in percentage points — a positive edge means sportsbooks price that outcome higher than the exchange does; a gap of 1+ point is stamped. Stale flags any quote observed more than 48 hours ago.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the odds gap between exchanges and sportsbooks on the World Series?
Our data shows the widest current gap is on Colorado Rockies: Polymarket prices it at 50.0%, while sportsbooks imply 0.1% on average — a -49.9pt difference on the identical outcome.
Where can I get the best price on the World Series?
It depends on the entrant — the table above marks the single best (highest-implied-payout) price per entrant across every tracked venue. No one venue wins across the board: Gemini, Novig, Polymarket and BetMGM, BetRivers, DraftKings, FanDuel each lead on different entrants.
How many venues does Odds Reference track for the World Series?
7 venues currently: Gemini, Novig, Polymarket as prediction-market exchanges, and BetMGM, BetRivers, DraftKings, FanDuel as sportsbooks, across 30 entrants with a live quote from both venue types.
Why do exchange and sportsbook prices differ for the World Series?
Prediction-market exchanges like Gemini set prices through open order-book trading, while sportsbooks price futures using their own risk models and hold a built-in vig. The two rarely land on an identical number — our data shows gaps of several points are common, and occasionally exceed 50 points on a single entrant, as with Colorado Rockies above.