Super Bowl Odds: Polymarket vs BetMGM, BetRivers, DraftKings, FanDuel
32 Super Bowl entrants currently have a live price on both a prediction-market exchange and a real sportsbook. The widest gap right now is Los Angeles Rams, priced at 6.5% on Polymarket versus an average of 12.5% across sportsbooks — a +6.0pt gap on the identical event.
Where is the Super Bowl priced differently?
Every row below has a real, live quote from at least one exchange and one sportsbook — no placeholder or zero-probability rows. The legend above the table explains how the best price, edge, and stale marks work.
| Entrant / edge | Polymarket | BetMGM | BetRivers | DraftKings | FanDuel | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Francisco 49ers -2.1pt | 15.6% +543 | 13.3% +650
stale · 7d ago | -2.1pt | |||
| Buffalo Bills -0.9pt | 12.5% +700 | 11.8% +750
stale · 7d ago | -0.9pt | |||
| Kansas City Chiefs -1.6pt | 11.5% +773 | 10.0% +900
stale · 7d ago | -1.6pt | |||
| Baltimore Ravens +4.5pt | 6.7% +1404 | 11.1% +800
stale · 7d ago | +4.5pt | |||
| Los Angeles Rams +6.0pt | 6.5% +1438 | 12.5% +700
stale · 7d ago | +6.0pt | |||
| Jacksonville Jaguars +1.7pt | 6.0% +1567 | 7.7% +1200
stale · 7d ago | +1.7pt | |||
| Chicago Bears -0.6pt | 5.9% +1609 | 5.3% +1800
stale · 7d ago | -0.6pt | |||
| Seattle Seahawks +1.7pt | 5.5% +1718 | 7.1% +1300
stale · 7d ago | +1.7pt | |||
| Cincinnati Bengals +0.6pt | 3.8% +2567 | 3.9% +2500
stale · 7d ago | +0.6pt | |||
| Minnesota Vikings +0.9pt | 3.8% +2567 | 4.8% +2000
stale · 7d ago | +0.9pt | |||
| Denver Broncos +1.0pt | 3.8% +2567 | 4.8% +2000
stale · 7d ago | +1.0pt | |||
| New England Patriots +0.9pt | 3.1% +3075 | 3.9% +2500
stale · 7d ago | +0.9pt | |||
| Detroit Lions +0.9pt | 3.0% +3179 | 3.9% +2500
stale · 7d ago | +0.9pt | |||
| Houston Texans -0.7pt | 3.0% +3179 | 2.4% +4000
stale · 7d ago | -0.7pt | |||
| Green Bay Packers -0.6pt | 2.6% +3674 | 2.0% +5000
stale · 7d ago | -0.6pt | |||
| Dallas Cowboys +1.4pt | 2.3% +4344 | 3.9% +2500
stale · 7d ago | +1.4pt | |||
| Carolina Panthers -0.0pt | 1.5% +6797 | 1.4% +7000
stale · 7d ago | -0.0pt | |||
| Pittsburgh Steelers +0.1pt | 0.9% +10426 | 1.0% +10000
stale · 7d ago | +0.1pt | |||
| Atlanta Falcons +0.6pt | 0.9% +11665 | 1.5% +6600
stale · 7d ago | +0.6pt | |||
| New York Giants +0.2pt | 0.5% +18082 | 0.8% +12500
stale · 7d ago | +0.2pt | |||
| Philadelphia Eagles +1.1pt | 0.4% +22122 | 1.6% +6000
stale · 7d ago | +1.1pt | |||
| Las Vegas Raiders +0.7pt | 0.4% +22122 | 1.2% +8000
stale · 7d ago | +0.7pt | |||
| New Orleans Saints +0.3pt | 0.4% +22122 | 0.7% +15000
stale · 7d ago | +0.3pt | |||
| Cleveland Browns -0.1pt | 0.4% +22122 | 0.4% +25000
stale · 7d ago | -0.1pt | |||
| Indianapolis Colts +0.7pt | 0.4% +28471 | 1.0% +10000
stale · 7d ago | +0.7pt | |||
| Washington Commanders +0.4pt | 0.4% +28471 | 0.8% +12500
stale · 7d ago | +0.4pt | |||
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers +0.5pt | 0.3% +39900 | 0.8% +12500
stale · 7d ago | +0.5pt | |||
| Los Angeles Chargers +0.3pt | 0.1% +66567 | 0.5% +20000
stale · 7d ago | +0.3pt | |||
| New York Jets +0.1pt | 0.1% +66567 | 0.3% +30000
stale · 7d ago | +0.1pt | |||
| Arizona Cardinals -0.0pt | 0.1% +66567 | 0.1% +100000
stale · 7d ago | -0.0pt | |||
| Miami Dolphins -0.1pt | 0.1% +66567 | 0.1% +100000
stale · 7d ago | -0.1pt | |||
| Tennessee Titans -0.1pt | 0.1% +66567 | 0.1% +100000
stale · 7d ago | -0.1pt |
Prices are implied probability derived from each venue's live quote (exchange price or American odds with vig). Bold, underlined marks the single highest-payout price across every venue for that entrant. Edge = sportsbook-consensus probability minus exchange probability, in percentage points — a positive edge means sportsbooks price that outcome higher than the exchange does; a gap of 1+ point is stamped. Stale flags any quote observed more than 48 hours ago.
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